Cash runway is how many months you can keep going before the bank balance reaches zero, if nothing changes. The simple version is cash divided by burn, where burn is how much more you spend than you take in during a month.
With $24,000 in the bank and three months that netted −$3,000, −$2,000 and −$2,500, a typical month loses $2,500. The runway is $24,000 ÷ $2,500 = 9.6 months. Those are the figures the calculator opens with, so you can check the arithmetic against the page.
Why the middle month, not the average
One unusually good or bad month should not swing the answer. The calculator takes the middle of your three months, so a big invoice that landed in one of them does not make you look safer than you are, and a one-off bill does not make you look worse.
What the shaded range means
Your months will not all be the same, and the further ahead you look, the less sure the running total is. The range is how much your three months differ from each other, growing with the square root of the number of months, because independent ups and downs partly cancel rather than simply adding. With three months to go on it is a rough guide, not a promise.
How the what-ifs work
Each one is a plain change on top of your typical month. A fall in sales is that percentage of your average month's sales, taken off every month from next month on. A new cost is subtracted every month from when it starts. A one-off lands in a single month. The projection is then run again, so the gap between the two lines is exactly what the change costs you.
Why it assumes a flat month
A trend drawn through three months is mostly noise. Sales that went from $8,000 to $10,000 to $12,000 would be projected to keep climbing by the same amount every month, and a year on you would be shown a figure nobody should believe. So this assumes your recent months are typical. Cashowa's own forecast, which learns the trend and the swing from 12 to 24 months of your real statements, can afford to be less cautious. A typed-in estimate cannot.
What it leaves out
It counts cash in the bank, not money you are owed, credit you could draw, or stock you could sell. It ignores interest and the timing of tax payments. If a large tax bill or a seasonal slump is coming, add it as a one-off cost in the month it lands.